Contents
pdf Download PDF
pdf Download XML
110 Views
66 Downloads
Share this article
Research Article | Volume 18 Issue 10 (OCTOBER, 2026) | Pages 435 - 439
Assessing the Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease Risk Using World Health Organization and International Society of Hypertension Risk Prediction Chart among Hypertensive Patients in Rural Area of Maharashtra
 ,
 ,
1
Associate Professor, Department of General Medicine, MGM Medical College Vashi, Navi Mumbai Maharashtra, India,
2
Senior Resident, Department of Pulmonology, DY Patil Medical College Nerul, Navi Mumbai Maharashtra,
3
Assistant Professor, Department of General Medicine, MGM Medical College Vashi, Navi Mumbai Maharashtra, India
Under a Creative Commons license
Open Access
Received
Sept. 1, 2026
Revised
Sept. 15, 2026
Accepted
Oct. 1, 2026
Published
Oct. 21, 2026
Abstract

Introduction: The worldwide occurrence of cardiovascular diseases events is on growing trends, particularly in young adults. Hypertension through its hastening of atherosclerotic process is among the most significant risk factors for cardiovascular events. In present study, the objective was to assess the cardiovascular event risk among hypertensive patients. Objective: To assess the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among hypertensive patients in rural field practice regions of respective institute. Material and Methods: A Cross-sectional study was done in which all 182 patients who were diagnosed with hypertension and attending health center during the period of 1st April 2025 to 31st December 2025 were included as study participants through Complete Enumeration Sampling Method.  The cardiovascular risk of study participants was assessed by the World Health Organization‐International Society of Hypertension Chart. Results: Among study participants, approximately 47% of them had ˂10% of CVD risk while nearly 6% had more than 40% of CVD. The prevalence of >10% CVD risk considerably increased with age with greater prevalence among the age group of 61-70 years compared to the other age groups (P <0.05). The prevalence of >10% CVD risk was detected to be more (p<0.05) among non-vegetarians, smokers, alcoholics, and diabetics compared to their counterparts.  Conclusions: Rural hypertensive patients in Pune District showed a high risk of cardiovascular events, which can be effectively gauged using WHO–ISH charts. Using these charts empowers blood pressure management, comorbidity screening, and consistent follow-ups to prevent subsequent fatal heart events.

Keywords
INTRODUCTION

Worldwide, around 1.28 million adults with age group of 30– 79 years have hypertension, majority of them residing in low and middle  and income countries (LMIC) [1]. Hypertension is considered as one of the significant public health concerns in India. As per the estimates of World Health Organization (WHO), the prevalence of hypertension in India is around 30%.[2] The overall prevalence of hypertension is reported as 25% in Maharashtra with 27% in urban areas and around 40% in rural areas [3]. One of the published research documents that hypertension was present in 30% of the urban and 20% of the rural population in India [4].

 

In context of India, nearly 62% of mortalities were due to non-infectious diseases, out of which, around 27% were contributed to cardiovascular health problems [5]. Ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular accident (CVA) are the most pre-dominant form of cardiovascular diseases among Indians mainly due to variations in the epidemiological transition.[4,5] Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) refers to a set of conditions triggered by the increase of fats, cholesterol, and other substances like plaque inside the walls of arteries. As plaque collects, it narrows and stiffens the arteries, inhibiting normal, oxygen-rich blood flow to vital organs and tissues of the body [6, 7]. The ASCVD arises due to the combined effect of several risk factors. Therefore, it is a standard method to be utilized to estimate the risk of cardiovascular disease [6, 7].

 

The assessment of the individual’s risk for the development of ASCVD will enable the health care professionals to strengthen the preventive approaches including pharmacological as well as lifestyle changes.[6,7] One of the approved tools constructed to assist the clinicians in predicting the risk of cardiovascular events among hypertensive patients is the WHO/International Society of Hypertension (ISH) chart [8].  The WHO/ISH chart signifies ten year risk of a lethal or non-lethal major cardiovascular event (MACE), as per the age, gender, blood pressure, smoking habits, total blood cholesterol, status of type 2 diabetes mellitus [8].

 

The research, which is conducted across 21 regions worldwide, indicates that, WHO ISH chart will improve the accuracy, practicability as well as sustainability of efforts to decrease the magnitude of cardiovascular diseases at global level [8]. Additionally, the laboratory-based and non-laboratory-based WHO/ISH risk charts exhibit strong mutual concordance [7, 8]. Therefore, non-laboratory WHO/ISH chart can be appropriate for risk evaluation in the resource restricted areas [9]. The present study utilized non-laboratory based WHO/ISH chart to assess the prevalence of cardiovascular event risk among hypertensive patients in the age group of 40–70 years in a rural field practice area of an institute in Pune District of Maharashtra State.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A cross sectional study was carried out among hypertensive patients aged 40–70 years attending rural health center in field practice areas of an institute which is in rural region of Pune District of Maharashtra State of India. The existing study was approved by Institutional Ethics Committee of Brij Niramaya Memorial Hospital and Research Centre in Maharashtra, India (approval number: BMC/EC/617/2025). All 182 patients who were diagnosed with hypertension and attending health center during the period of 1st April 2025 to 31st December 2025 were included as study participants through Complete Enumeration Sampling (Census) Method.  Any hypertensive patients diagnosed with secondary hypertension and those who were not willing to participate in the study were excluded from the study.

 

In this study, operational definitions were formulated to ensure smooth collection of data. The participants were considered “alcoholic” if they consumed it more than one year on regularly or occasionally. The study participants were considered for “active work” if their work involved any kind of significant physical activity or movement. The data collection was accomplished through two methods namely self-administered questionnaire and face to face interviews using structured validated questionnaire. The questionnaire included sociodemographic attributes, personal habits, and details of pre-existing morbidities. The cardiovascular risk of the participants was evaluated using WHO/ISH chart.

 

The data were entered into Microsoft Office Excel Sheet and analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Services (SPSS) Version 31, IBM. Categorical variables were denoted as percentages and continuous variables as mean with standard deviation, if ordinarily distributed, and as median with interquartile range, if not ordinarily distributed. Multivariable logistic regression was utilized to assess the factors linked with cardiovascular event risk. P value <0.05 was considered as statistically significant.

RESULTS

The present study involved 182 participants. Table 1 indicates various sociodemographic attributes of participants and their relationship with CDER. Most of them belonged to age group of 51-60 years (44.50%), and around 56.04% of them were males [Table 1]. More than half of the participants (51.61%) belonged to the nuclear family, and most of them were having nonvegetarian diet [Table 1]. Around 34% and 33% of study participants were smokers and alcoholics respectively while nearly two thirds were involved in sedentary work (64.83%) [Table 1]. Table 1: Sociodemographic Features and Its Correlation with Cardiovascular Disease Event Risk (n=182) Parameter CVD P value <10%, n (%) >10%, n (%) Age 61–70 9 (4.94) 44 (24.17) <0.05* 51–60 38 (20.87) 43 (23.62) 40–50 37 (20.32) 11 (6.04) Gender Male 40 (21.97) 62 (34.06) 0.152 Female 42 (23.07) 38 (20.87) Diet Nonvegetarian 66 (36.26) 92 (50.54) <0.05* Vegetarian 16 (8.79) 8 (4.39) Smoking Yes 19 (31.25) 58 (47.97) <0.05* No 62 (52.03) 43 (68.75 Alcohol Yes 18 (9.89) 61 (33.51) <0.05* No 63 (34.61) 40 (21.97) Type 2 Diabetes Yes 33 (32.99) 64 (67.01) <0.05* No 50 (57.78) 35 (19.23) Work Pattern Sedentary work 55 (30.76) 63 (34.61) 0.324 Active work* 26 (14.28) 38 (20.87) <10% CVD event risk – reference variable, CVD: Cardiovascular disease, *P value was statistically significant Among participants, nearly 47% of them had ˂10% of CVD risk whereas nearly 6% had more than 40% of CVD [Figure 1]. The prevalence of >10% CVD risk significantly enhanced with age with greater prevalence among the age group of 61-70 years compared to the other age groups (p <0.05) [Table 1]. The prevalence of >10% CVD risk was observed to be more (p<0.05) among non-vegetarians, smokers, alcoholics, and diabetics compared to their counterparts. [Table 2]. Figure 1: Prevalence Of Cardiovascular Event Risk Among Study Participants In the current study, the risk for developing >10% fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event was reported to be more among the age group of 61–70 years [Odds ratio = 13.6, p<0.05) compared to other age groups. It was also shown that the risk for developing >10% fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular event for the type 2 diabetic participants (Odds ratio = 5.126, p<0.05) was greater than nondiabetic participants.

DISCUSSION

The present cross sectional study documented that more than half of the participants had more than 10% risk of developing CVD events. This study corroborates with the study done by Tamilamudhan Manivannan et al. [10] where the reported percentage of participants was around 55%. The findings were comparable to other studies of south India with low percentages of participants with more than 10% risk of CVD events [11, 12]. This could be attributed to variation in the target population in other studies as they were executed among general population whereas the current study was carried out among hypertensive patients. In both the studies, almost half of the study participants were less than 50 years, but in our study, the percentage is less.

 

In this study, our analysis revealed that older age, smoking habits, and type 2 diabetes significantly raised cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, aligning with established evidence linking aging to higher cardiac event rates. Af Geijerstam P et al. [13] and Mengozzi et al. [14] reported similar findings in their study. Gender serves as an identified key predisposing factor for cardiovascular events [13, 14]. Research by Kundu et al. [15] reveals that males suffer a more burden of premature cardiovascular mortality than females [15]. Additionally, multi-nation nationally representative data evaluated by Otgontuya et al. [16] shows that a greater percentage of males encounter moderate or high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk compared to females. In line with this, the initial bivariate analysis in the current study reported a high risk of CVD events in males versus females, though this variance lacks statistical significance; on the contrary, controlling for additional variables via multiple logistic regression shifts the pattern to indicate a greater yet still statistically non-significant risk of CVD events among females.

 

The existing literature suggests that alcohol consumption advances cardiovascular event risks [7-10]. Our study analysis stated a greater incidence of cardiovascular events among alcohol drinkers. This could be compared with a Rural Chennai Study [10] and Nepal study [17] where alcohol consumption showed no significant relationship with a more than 10% cardiovascular event risk [15]. This lack of correlation potentially attributable to present study's specific criteria defining alcoholics as participants consuming alcohol for a minimum of twelve months. Regarding the work patterns, the current literature validates a significant danger of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events among extremely sedentary people, our study findings did not find any significant link between sedentary employment and cardiovascular event risks, mirroring findings from a rural community study in Nepal [17]—a difference might be due to differing operational definitions of physical activity.

 

The study reported few limitations. Because this study relied on a limited period data alongside a constrained sample size, the findings cannot be generalized to the wider population of Maharashtra. Subsequently, further research integrating significantly greater sample populations and more robust sampling techniques are necessary to measure cardiovascular disease (CVD) event risk with a high degree of precision.

 

CONCLUSION

The present study findings indicate a considerable prevalence of cardiovascular event risk among hypertensive patients residing in rural regions of Pune District of Maharashtra. Applying the WHO–ISH charts can serve as an effective approach for assessing cardiovascular disease event risk in these hypertensive individuals. Executing this approach ensures that diligent blood pressure management, comprehensive screening for co-morbidities, and steady medical follow-ups are enforced to avert fatal cardiovascular events among these hypertensive patients.

REFERENCES
1. Samal AA, Sinha A, Kanungo S, Pati S. Cardiovascular risk assessment among undiagnosed hypertensive older adults in India: Evidence from LASI, wave-1. J Family Med Prim Care. 2025; 14(11):4809-4816. 2. Singh PS, Singh PK, Zafar KS, Sharma H, Yadav SK, Gautam RK, et al. Prevalence of hypertension in rural population of central India. Int J Res Med Sci. 2017; 5:1451-55. 3. Bhise MD, Patra S. Prevalence and correlates of hypertension in Maharashtra, India: A multilevel analysis. PLOS One. 2018; 13(2):44-58. 4. K SK, Singh AB, Asem P. Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension in urban communities of Imphal, Manipur. Int J Interdiscip Multidiscip Stud 2015; 2 (2):61-70. 5. Sreeniwas Kumar A, Sinha N. Cardiovascular disease in India: A 360 degree overview. Med J Armed Forces India. 2020; 76(1):1-3. 6. Rikhi R, Shapiro MD. Assessment of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in Primary Prevention. J Cardiopulm Rehabil Prev. 2022; 42(6):397-403. 7. Roth GA, Mensah GA, Johnson CO, et al. Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990-2019: Update from the GBD 2019 Study. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020; 76:2982-3021. 8. Afifi T, Obeid M, Abdelati M, Almoqaid A, Samaan M, Elessi K. WHO/International Society of Hypertension risk prediction charts versus the UK Prospective Diabetes Study risk engine for cardiovascular risk assessment among patients with type 2 diabetes: a comparative study. Lancet. 2021; 3(8): 55-68. 9. Ananda Selva Das P, Dubey M, Kaur R, Salve HR, Varghese C, Nongkynrih B. WHO Non-Lab-Based CVD Risk Assessment: A Reliable Measure in a North Indian Population. Glob Heart. 2022; 17(1):64-70. 10. Tamilamudhan Manivannan, R. Uma Maheswari, Damodaran Vasudevan, Nandhakumar Achimuthu. A Cross‐sectional Study on Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease Risk among Hypertensive Patients Using the World Health Organization‐International Society of Hypertension Chart in Rural Field Practice Areas of a Medical College, Chennai. Journal of Mid-life Health 2025; 16(3): 267-71. 11. Bansal P, Chaudhary A, Wander P, Satija M, Sharma S, Girdhar S, et al. Cardiovascular risk ssessment using WHO/ISH risk prediction charts in a rural area of North India. Res Med Dent Sci 2016; 4(3):127-34. 12. Ghorpade AG, Shrivastava SR, Kar SS, Sarkar S, Majgi SM, Roy G. Estimation of the cardiovascular risk using World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension (WHO/ISH) risk prediction charts in a rural population of South India. Int J Health Policy Manag 2015; 4(5):531‐36. 13. Af Geijerstam P, Janryd F, Nyström FH. Smoking and cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes: a prospective observational study. J Cardiovasc Med (Hagerstown). 2023; 24(11):802-807. 14. Mengozzi A, Pugliese NR, Chiriacò M, Masi S, Virdis A, Taddei S. Microvascular ageing links metabolic disease to age-related disorders: the role of oxidative stress and inflammation in promoting microvascular dysfunction. J Cardiovasc Pharmacol 2021; 78 (5): 78-S87. 15. Kundu J, James KS, Hossain B, Chakraborty R. Gender differences in premature mortality for cardiovascular disease in India, 2017‐18. BMC Public Health 2023; 23 (5):547-51. 16. Otgontuya D, Oum S, Buckley BS, Bonita R. Assessment of total cardiovascular risk using WHO/ISH risk prediction charts in three low and middle income countries in Asia. BMC Public Health 2013; 13(2):539-45. 17. Dhungana R, Khana M, Pandey A. Assessment of Short Term Cardiovascular Risk Among 40 Years and Above Population in a Selected Community of Kathmandu, Nepal. J Nepal Health Res Counc 2015; 13(5):66-71.
Recommended Articles
Research Article
Association Between Serum NT-pro BNP Levels and Severity of Heart Failure.
Published: 22/10/2026
Research Article
Frequency and Chemical Composition of Renal Stones in Patients Presenting to a Tertiary Care Hospital
Published: 21/10/2026
Research Article
Variations in Peak Expiratory Flow Rate (PEFR) Among Male and Female Students Aged 18–22 Years in Relation to Anthropometric Parameters and Physical Activity: A Cross-Sectional Study
...
Published: 22/10/2026
Research Article
Ethical Challenges Faced by Medical Students during Clinical Rotations
...
Published: 30/08/2026
Chat on WhatsApp
© Copyright CME Journal Geriatric Medicine